General Velásquez vs Tomás Greig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAU
5 - 2
GVE
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GVE
1 - 1
PUB
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 1
GVE
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GVE
3 - 1
REN
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
GVE
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
4 - 2
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LIM
0 - 0
TOM
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
3 - 3
CHG
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DSC
2 - 0
TOM
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TOM
3 - 3
TAL
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |