General Díaz vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AME
3 - 1
GEN
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
GEN
4 - 1
OLI
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 0
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GEN
5 - 1
GEN
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 2
LQE
27%
27%
47%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
4 - 2
DEP
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 3
LIB
32%
29%
39%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 1
RPA
65%
21%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |