Gelbison vs San Severo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SSM
2 - 0
GEL
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GEL
2 - 0
PUT
59%
24%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
POT
0 - 2
GEL
16%
24%
60%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 1
TAR
14%
21%
64%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 0
AMK
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SSE
1 - 0
ARZ
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAV
5 - 1
SSE
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SSE
1 - 1
MON
31%
26%
44%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PUT
2 - 2
SSE
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SSE
2 - 1
FRA
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |