Fontinhas vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CON
3 - 0
GDF
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 1
SER
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BEN
6 - 0
GDF
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 1
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 0
GDF
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 3
BMA
9%
19%
72%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FAT
1 - 2
VIT
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 3
ANA
13%
22%
65%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
TOR
0 - 0
VIT
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 1
OLE
19%
24%
57%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |