Fontinhas vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
GDF
2 - 1
ORI
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
OSL
1 - 2
GDF
51%
22%
26%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 1
REA
12%
20%
68%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
SCP
2 - 1
GDF
92%
6%
2%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GDF
2 - 2
IDE
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FAF
1 - 1
VSC
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 2
FAF
21%
25%
55%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
FAF
5 - 1
VPE
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
FAF
10%
21%
70%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
FAF
0 - 1
BSC
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |