Gawler vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
47.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gawler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GAW
3 - 1
AHH
14%
16%
70%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FUL
2 - 3
GAW
19%
18%
63%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
ADE
7 - 0
GAW
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
AUN
2 - 3
GAW
43%
22%
35%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PCP
2 - 5
GAW
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
BLF
2 - 3
MOD
13%
15%
72%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
EDF
4 - 6
MOD
8%
13%
79%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ADE
3 - 1
MOD
66%
17%
17%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NUB
1 - 2
MOD
14%
17%
69%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 2
NEM
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |