Gawler vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
66.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NEM
1 - 2
ADO
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NEM
4 - 2
SAP
71%
16%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
WES
2 - 0
NEM
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
NEM
1 - 5
ADE
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
2 - 2
NEM
27%
22%
52%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |