Follonica Gavorrano vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
GAV
0 - 1
MON
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ALB
3 - 2
GAV
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
GAV
2 - 0
TUT
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 0
GAV
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 1
GAV
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 1
BAS
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 3
FLA
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SCA
3 - 1
BAS
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 3
MON
19%
22%
58%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAN
0 - 1
BAS
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |