Gauthiod vs Lerum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
4.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gauthiod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 2
GAU
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
GAU
1 - 1
LID
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
IFK
0 - 1
GAU
32%
24%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
GAU
3 - 3
NOR
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
TIK
0 - 0
GAU
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lerum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2014 |
LIS
2 - 2
YTE
23%
21%
57%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
OLM
0 - 1
LIS
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LIS
2 - 3
GRE
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
AUS
2 - 0
LIS
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LIS
1 - 3
STE
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |