Gateshead vs Barrow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
GAT
1 - 0
TRA
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MAI
0 - 3
GAT
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
GAT
2 - 0
CHM
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
GAT
0 - 0
DOV
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
LEY
0 - 2
GAT
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
EAS
0 - 2
BAR
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 2
MAC
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALD
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 2
BAR
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EBB
3 - 2
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |