Gareji vs Hereti Tchabukiani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TEL
3 - 0
GAR
14%
18%
68%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
GAR
5 - 2
ALA
41%
23%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
DUR
0 - 3
GAR
12%
17%
71%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
GAR
4 - 2
SAR
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
GAR
3 - 1
RUS
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hereti Tchabukiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
BAK
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
RUS
2 - 0
HER
84%
12%
5%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
TEL
7 - 0
HER
66%
17%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
ALA
8%
15%
77%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
DUR
2 - 1
HER
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |