Galáctico Pegaso vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
CIE
4 - 0
PEG
41%
27%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
PEG
1 - 2
GET
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
TRJ
2 - 3
PEG
25%
26%
49%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
PEG
1 - 1
PNT
57%
23%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
COL
1 - 0
PEG
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
RMC
2 - 1
LEG
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
MST
0 - 2
RMC
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
RMC
1 - 1
COB
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
STA
0 - 4
RMC
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
RMC
2 - 2
ALA
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |