Galáctico Pegaso vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
PNT
3 - 1
PEG
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
PEG
0 - 3
MST
29%
28%
43%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
LEG
2 - 0
PEG
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PEG
1 - 2
SFN
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
STA
1 - 1
PEG
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
RVB
1 - 0
MST
43%
27%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
SFN
0 - 1
RVB
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
RVB
4 - 2
ARA
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
RMC
2 - 2
RVB
55%
21%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
RVB
3 - 2
COL
76%
17%
8%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |