Galáctico Pegaso vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ADP
1 - 1
PEG
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 2
ATM
55%
23%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PEG
4 - 1
ARA
71%
18%
10%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
LEG
2 - 1
PEG
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
PEG
0 - 1
MST
45%
26%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SFN
0 - 2
LEG
59%
23%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MST
1 - 1
SFN
57%
24%
20%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SFN
2 - 1
COB
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
STA
4 - 4
SFN
35%
28%
38%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
SFN
2 - 0
ALA
84%
12%
4%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | +1 |