Gainsborough Trinity vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GAI
2 - 1
STA
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
OXF
2 - 0
GAI
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 1
TAM
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
COL
4 - 1
GAI
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 0
BRA
43%
24%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 1
BOS
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
WOR
3 - 1
RUG
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FYL
4 - 0
WOR
64%
22%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
STO
2 - 0
WOR
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 0
CHO
29%
28%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |