Gainsborough Trinity vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 1
LEA
45%
25%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BOS
6 - 0
GAI
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GAI
0 - 2
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
GAI
3 - 0
WOR
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
GAI
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
WOR
0 - 1
AFC
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
WOR
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
WOR
3 - 1
SOL
31%
27%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VAU
1 - 0
WOR
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 2
WOR
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |