Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
GAI
5 - 3
MAT
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 0
GAI
18%
20%
62%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -3 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GAI
4 - 1
ATH
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
GAI
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
MAT
5 - 2
GAI
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
GUI
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 1
ASH
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BAM
0 - 2
GUI
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
GUI
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 0
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |