FV Bad Honnef vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FV Bad Honnef
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
BER
3 - 0
FBH
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
FBH
2 - 3
STR
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
SRW
4 - 1
FBH
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 70 | 45 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
FBH
0 - 2
BOR
21%
26%
54%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
RHE
3 - 0
FBH
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
DIE
2 - 1
WEG
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
BAE
3 - 2
DIE
28%
27%
45%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
DIE
0 - 0
TUS
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
SSD
1 - 2
DIE
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
BER
0 - 1
DIE
37%
27%
37%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |