Barquisimeto vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
7º
3º
13
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
52% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 27 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 27 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 24 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 21 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 21 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 19 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
5.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 16 |
13º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 13 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 11 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
89% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barquisimeto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
HFF
2 - 1
FLD
41%
25%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
TIT
3 - 0
FLD
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
FLD
4 - 0
HFF
45%
24%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
FLD
1 - 2
PUE
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 14 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
DRZ
4 - 0
FLD
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
ATL
3 - 1
URE
36%
23%
41%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
URE
1 - 1
ATL
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
URE
1 - 2
ATL
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
TRU
2 - 0
URE
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
EST
5 - 0
URE
63%
19%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |