Friol vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ANT
2 - 1
FRI
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FRI
5 - 1
CAS
49%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RUB
2 - 1
FRI
44%
23%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FRI
2 - 0
CHA
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BRO
2 - 0
FRI
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
COM
2 - 2
POR
49%
23%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 3
COM
41%
23%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
PAL
37%
23%
40%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CAT
2 - 0
COM
50%
22%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
GUN
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |