Friburguense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
71.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VOL
2 - 3
FRI
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
BAN
3 - 3
FRI
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
FRI
1 - 3
BOA
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
FRI
0 - 0
MES
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
FRI
88%
9%
3%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
BOT
4 - 1
BAN
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 2
VOL
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MES
0 - 2
BOT
8%
17%
75%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BOA
1 - 2
BOT
14%
20%
66%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |