Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
12º
7º
35
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
OLY
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
JUR
2 - 0
FRE
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
AND
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
THO
1 - 1
FRE
49%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 2
HYE
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
CAN
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 3
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
AUB
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
JUR
2 - 0
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
GRA
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |