Freienbach vs Wil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
FRE
50%
22%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FRE
3 - 0
CHU
76%
15%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 1
FRE
13%
16%
71%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FRE
3 - 0
UST
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SIR
1 - 3
FRE
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 0
AMR
68%
18%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 2
KRE
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
WIL
63%
19%
19%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
4 - 1
CHU
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 4
WIL
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |