Fredrikstad II vs Vindbjart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
9º
9º
38
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
DON
1 - 0
FFK
16%
17%
68%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
FFK
1 - 2
SJE
61%
19%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
SFO
2 - 3
FFK
47%
20%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
FFK
1 - 2
ODD
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
IKS
7 - 0
FFK
32%
20%
48%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -3 |
Matches
Vindbjart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VIN
2 - 4
POR
15%
19%
67%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HIF
2 - 2
VIN
30%
21%
50%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VIN
3 - 3
MJO
77%
13%
10%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
RIL
1 - 1
VIN
28%
21%
51%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VIN
1 - 3
MAN
49%
21%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |