Forward Madison vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FMA
1 - 0
CRW
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
TUC
2 - 1
FMA
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GTR
2 - 0
FMA
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
NER
0 - 4
FMA
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
FMA
3 - 1
ORL
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TUC
1 - 2
IMI
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
TUC
2 - 1
FMA
30%
27%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
NOT
1 - 1
TUC
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
TUC
1 - 0
NER
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
TUC
0 - 2
NOT
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |