Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+118%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
6º
2º
27
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CRW
1 - 3
FMA
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LSC
0 - 0
FMA
26%
24%
51%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 0
CHA
28%
27%
46%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OMA
2 - 2
FMA
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 1
NCO
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Spokane Velocity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 0
TOR
17%
20%
63%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
3 - 2
CVF
20%
19%
61%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +4 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 1
OMA
18%
22%
61%
|
27 | 69 | 42 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OKS
1 - 1
SPV
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CRW
0 - 1
SPV
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | +2 |