Fortuna Magdeburg vs Dessau 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
69.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SVW
2 - 0
FMA
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 2
SCB
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FMA
1 - 4
FCB
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 0
GWI
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SGR
0 - 0
FMA
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dessau 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SVD
2 - 2
SVB
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 7 | 72 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
SVD
0 - 5
VFL
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 27 | 51 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SVD
0 - 1
LAS
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 20 | 58 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SGR
2 - 0
SVD
13%
20%
68%
|
78 | 15 | 63 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SSV
7 - 1
SVD
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 14 | 64 | 0 |