Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Oberhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1999 |
COT
2 - 0
KÖL
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
KÖL
1 - 1
STP
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
M05
1 - 1
KÖL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
KÖL
2 - 2
ULM
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
HAN
3 - 3
KÖL
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1999 |
GUT
0 - 3
ROT
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1999 |
ROT
3 - 1
COT
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1999 |
STP
1 - 1
ROT
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
ROT
2 - 1
M05
37%
26%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1999 |
ULM
1 - 0
ROT
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |