Fortuna Köln vs Magdeburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
OSN
0 - 2
KÖL
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
VER
2 - 0
KÖL
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 1
ROT
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
BAY
5 - 2
KÖL
36%
26%
37%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 1
WAT
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
MAG
3 - 1
PAD
69%
18%
14%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
MAG
1 - 0
DRE
68%
19%
14%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
CHE
1 - 0
MAG
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
MAG
2 - 2
KFC
66%
19%
16%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
LUB
4 - 1
MAG
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |