Fortuna Köln vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
EIN
4 - 2
KÖL
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
KÖL
2 - 2
HAN
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
KÖL
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1973 |
KÖL
1 - 1
S04
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
WUP
0 - 0
KÖL
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
KOL
4 - 3
BYM
36%
25%
40%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
KOL
2 - 0
ESK
83%
11%
5%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
MON
1 - 1
KOL
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
KOL
2 - 0
OFC
65%
19%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
ESK
0 - 0
KOL
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |