Fortaleza vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
AFC
1 - 1
FOR
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 1
SFC
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 0
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 1
FOR
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 1
CEN
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
RSC
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
RSC
1 - 0
RIO
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
AGU
2 - 2
RSC
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
RSC
2 - 1
UNI
39%
30%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SAB
2 - 0
RSC
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |