Fortaleza vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2022 |
BOG
0 - 2
FOR
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
TFC
0 - 0
FOR
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 1
TFC
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
BOG
67%
19%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAL
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 0
TFC
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BOG
1 - 1
QUI
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 1
BOG
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
TFC
0 - 1
QUI
30%
29%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |