Fortaleza U23 vs Bahia U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
RBB
0 - 1
FOR
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 0
RBB
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
ECB
0 - 2
FOR
31%
25%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
AVA
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 0
CEA
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
ECB
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ECB
2 - 0
AVA
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
ECB
0 - 2
FOR
31%
25%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
RBB
1 - 2
ECB
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
ECB
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |