Fornos de Algodres vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
78.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fornos de Algodres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
RDA
1 - 1
FAL
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FAL
0 - 5
ANA
7%
14%
79%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
FAL
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 3
MAR
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 0
FAL
93%
6%
2%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
OLE
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FAV
0 - 4
SER
9%
15%
75%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
ADN
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ADM
1 - 0
SER
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
LUS
49%
26%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |