Forli vs Delta Porto Tolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ASS
3 - 0
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
RIM
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASD
3 - 5
FOR
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
SPA
25%
25%
50%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIN
3 - 2
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
DEL
4 - 1
FCC
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
REN
0 - 2
DEL
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
RIM
2 - 1
DEL
60%
22%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DEL
1 - 1
VIN
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
DEL
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |