US Forcoli 1921 vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
71.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
FOR
79%
15%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
ACP
15%
24%
61%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VIR
5 - 1
FOR
85%
11%
4%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
FID
29%
26%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
THE
2 - 0
FOR
80%
14%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ASL
1 - 0
MAS
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ASL
4 - 0
FOR
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MEZ
2 - 1
ASL
24%
25%
52%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ASL
3 - 0
ACP
74%
18%
9%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIR
3 - 2
ASL
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |