Força e Luz vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FRA
3 - 1
FEL
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ECN
2 - 0
FEL
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
FEL
2 - 1
PEN
22%
23%
56%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
FEL
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
FEL
1 - 2
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AUD
2 - 3
SEP
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2009 |
AUD
2 - 2
BAT
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
AUD
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
AUD
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
AUD
2 - 1
UNI
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |