Forbach vs Sarreguemines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 2
NAN
29%
24%
46%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BIE
2 - 3
FOR
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 0
FOR
57%
21%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 5
ILL
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
STR
2 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sarreguemines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 4
FCS
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 3
NIO
8%
14%
77%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 1
REI
3%
8%
89%
|
34 | 73 | 39 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 2
VAU
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LUN
1 - 2
SAR
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |