Fontana vs CD Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
FON
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
CSC
1 - 2
FON
9%
17%
74%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FON
0 - 2
JUC
83%
12%
5%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OCF
1 - 1
FON
9%
17%
75%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | -3 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FON
3 - 3
IND
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RES
1 - 0
COM
72%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
COM
4 - 1
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
JUC
1 - 1
COM
21%
22%
58%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
OCF
88%
9%
3%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
IND
0 - 3
COM
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |