Follo vs Vålerenga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
13º
9º
6
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 8 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ALT
3 - 1
FOL
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 0
STR
48%
23%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
5 - 2
FOL
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FOL
0 - 0
GJO
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 3
FOL
21%
22%
57%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Vålerenga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
STR
6 - 1
VAL
79%
13%
9%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 5
GRO
14%
19%
67%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
IKJ
2 - 0
VAL
64%
17%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 3
TRO
10%
16%
74%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 3
FOL
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |