Folkestone Invicta vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
HOR
2 - 1
FOL
72%
19%
10%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
FOL
0 - 4
HEN
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
CHM
2 - 0
FOL
80%
14%
7%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
MAI
2 - 0
FOL
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
FOL
0 - 0
ASH
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
SWA
6 - 2
HOR
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
HOR
1 - 1
SWA
18%
21%
61%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
HOR
1 - 0
HAR
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
HEN
2 - 0
HOR
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
HOR
4 - 1
MAI
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |