Folgore vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
58%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 1
FOL
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
TPE
2 - 1
FOL
77%
15%
7%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 3
COS
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
FOL
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
FAE
2 - 1
FOL
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
FAE
1 - 0
TFI
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 1
TFI
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
COS
1 - 3
TFI
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
TFI
2 - 0
MUR
53%
23%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
TFI
0 - 0
FIO
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |