Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SGI
1 - 2
FOL
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
FOL
4 - 0
SGI
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
DOM
2 - 2
FOL
78%
15%
8%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
JUV
0 - 0
FOL
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
FOL
2 - 2
FIO
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
COS
1 - 0
FIO
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
FIO
2 - 2
COS
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CAI
4 - 1
COS
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
COS
0 - 2
TFI
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
MUR
2 - 0
COS
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |