Folgore Caratese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 2
FOL
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
PRO
37%
27%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
GRU
3 - 1
FOL
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -3 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
FOL
27%
25%
47%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
DER
1 - 0
VAR
31%
28%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
ASD
13%
22%
65%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
OLG
2 - 1
DER
68%
20%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
DER
0 - 1
GOZ
8%
21%
71%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
INV
1 - 1
DER
80%
13%
6%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |