Folgore Caratese vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 2
FOL
53%
26%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 0
MAP
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PON
2 - 2
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 0
FIO
42%
26%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
SON
0 - 1
FOL
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 2
LEC
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VBE
1 - 2
CAR
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
GRU
20%
22%
59%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 2
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |