Fluminense vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DUQ
0 - 0
FLU
10%
21%
69%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 0
AUD
93%
6%
1%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 1
HUA
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
VAS
3 - 2
FLU
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 2
FLU
25%
26%
50%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
RES
2 - 1
MAC
39%
25%
37%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
3 - 2
BOA
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
FRI
1 - 1
MAC
29%
24%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 0
NOV
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
OLA
2 - 2
MAC
23%
24%
52%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |