Fluminense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
FLU
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FLU
3 - 1
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COR
0 - 1
FLU
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
FLU
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLU
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
FLA
35%
27%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 2
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 1
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
FLA
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |