Fluminense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ARG
2 - 4
FLU
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 0
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AME
1 - 5
FLU
10%
22%
68%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
FLU
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VOL
1 - 2
FLU
10%
21%
69%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
8%
17%
75%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
7%
16%
77%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
HOR
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRE
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
MAC
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |