Fluminense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
COR
1 - 0
FLU
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 0
ATL
65%
20%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 0
FLU
21%
26%
53%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 0
FLU
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
FLU
2 - 3
GRE
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 1
GRÊ
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
UCH
1 - 2
FLA
37%
25%
39%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
FLA
29%
24%
47%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 3
UCH
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |