Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
FLU
1 - 0
AUD
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MAD
0 - 1
FLU
10%
22%
68%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
FLU
0 - 1
BAN
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
FLU
3 - 0
CHA
74%
18%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
NOV
84%
12%
5%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
4 - 2
MAD
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
BAN
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
BOA
1 - 1
BOT
13%
24%
63%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
BOT
4 - 0
SCL
89%
9%
2%
|
78 | 12 | 66 | 0 |